week 11 recap

11/21/2012

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2012 Overall:   36-19
2012 Money Games:   17-7 (+19.0 units)


Week 11 Overall:   8-6
Week 11 Money Games:   3-3 (+1.6 units)



For Week 11, I introduced the phrase of Bulletproof Picks for my three most confident weekly bets. I started things off on the right foot with my choice in the Browns-Cowboys game in which Cleveland covered the spread and nearly pulled off an upset win taking Dallas into overtime. During the afternoon games, I had two picks going at once. Didn't have to sweat either of them as they both were blowout victories. The negative was the fact that I chose the Colts to cover the large spread in New England, but Tom Brady had other ideas. Remind me never to bet against that guy again. On the other hand, New Orleans easily handled the Raiders to give me a bit of profit for the week.


Bulletproof Picks: 10-2 (+17.5 units)



What I learned:
- Falcons have what it takes to win games even when Matty Ice has a career worst performance
- T. Richardson continues to impress, but he has to find the end zone more often
- Alex Smith has played well this year, but the 49ers would be on another level if Colin Kaepernick can repeat that performance
- A.J. Green has a TD in every game this year except for opening week. Consistent regardless of opponent.
- I thought the Texans had a good defense?
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week 10 recap

11/12/2012

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2012 Overall:   28-13
2012 Money Games:   14-4 (+17.4 units)


Week 10 Overall:   9-5
Week 10 Money Games:   4-2 (+5.8 units)







Another positive week of picking against the spread to continue my streak of profit. Knocks on wood. My top three picks were the most beneficial as I received a 100% return on my 7 total units bet. In my Gold pick, the Buccaneers stayed hot with their win over the Chargers. The development of Doug Martin has created more opportunities for QB Josh Freeman. It will be interesting to see if they can maintain this effort throughout the season. Next, my Silver pick ended up in another blowout victory. Titans defense played great against rookie QB Tannehill and controlled the game throughout. To finish things off, in my Bronze pick, the Ravens came through with an all-around great performance behind the efforts of Joe Flacco. The Raiders were missing their starting and backup running back to injuries and never had a chance in this game. I expect this trend to continue in Week 11 when they face the Saints missing these key players.

What I learned:
- Eli Manning and the Giants continue their struggles. Can't say I expected that.
- Adrian Peterson is absolutely on fire these past few weeks. Looking forward to his performance against the Bears D in Week 12.
- Seahawks continue to be a tough opponent when playing in Seattle. 5-0 against some tough competition.
- There shouldn't be ties in the NFL. What do you think?
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week 9 recap

11/6/2012

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2012 Overall:   19-8
2012 Money Games:   10-2 (+11.6 units)


Week 9 Overall:   10-4
Week 9 Money Games:   6-0 (+10 units)



I reached the perfect 1.000 mark for week 9. Lead it off with a home run on my Gold pick as the Lions easily handled the Jags behind 3 TD's from Leshoure. Followed that up with a successful Silver pick as the Broncos managed to hang on in a tough game against the Bengals with Manning proving he still has the ability to take control of a game in the 4th quarter.  Last but not least, my Bronze pick ended in a high-scoring game in Oakland where the Bucs won on the back of  rookie Doug Martin aka "Muscle Hamster" who had a record-setting day.
The key to my success this week was choosing my bets wisely based on my pick confidence. I wagered units on 6 games and won all 6. My winning percentage for the other 8 games was 50%. Efficiency, efficiency, efficiency.

What I learned:
 - Eagles O-Line is struggling because of injuries giving  the Cards competition for worst NFL O-Line. They made the Saints defense look good. Ouch!
 - Bucs will be a contender if D. Martin can continue to run the ball and stay healthy.
 - Bears defense is elite, but I can't trust their offense... especially Cutler.
 - Browns are underrated. More TDs and less FGs.

Let's hope next week is just as successful!
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